{"id":63,"date":"2024-09-24T12:02:37","date_gmt":"2024-09-24T12:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/?page_id=63"},"modified":"2024-10-13T19:03:34","modified_gmt":"2024-10-13T17:03:34","slug":"rezultate-activitate-1-2","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/rezultate-activitate-1-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Rezultate Activitate 1.2"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Rezultate Activitate 1.2<\/strong><\/p>

\u00cen decursul desf\u0103\u0219ur\u0103rii proiectului, au fost realizate 9 lan\u021buri de impact, ce vizeaz\u0103 impactul hazardelor de tip inunda\u021bie, pandemie, seism \u0219i secet\u0103:<\/p>

  1. Impactul concatenat al inunda\u021biilor \u0219i pandemiei COVID-19 la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een perioada 2020-2021;<\/li>
  2. Impactul inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anul 2020;<\/li>
  3. Impactul inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anul 2021;<\/li>
  4. Impactul inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anul 2022;<\/li>
  5. Impactul concatenat al inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anii 2020-2022;<\/li>
  6. Impactul unui seism major (cu magnitudinea de peste 7 MW) care ar afecta Bucure\u0219tiul \u00eentr-un viitor apropiat;<\/li>
  7. Impactul pandemiei COVID-19 asupra re\u021belei de spitale din Bucure\u0219ti, \u00een perioada 2020-2022;<\/li>
  8. Impactul pandemiei COVID-19 asupra re\u021belei de spitale din Bucure\u0219ti, suprapus poten\u021bialului impact al unui seism major (cu magnitudinea de peste 7 MW) care ar afecta Bucure\u0219tiul \u00eentr-un viitor apropiat;<\/li>
  9. Impactul concatenat al inunda\u021biilor \u0219i secetei din perioada 2020-2022, la nivelul Rom\u00e2niei;<\/li><\/ol>

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    \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Lan\u021burile au fost dezvoltate \u00een platforma online Kumu, utiliz\u00e2nd surse de date \u0219i informa\u021bii variate: articole \u0219tiin\u021bifice, rapoarte oficiale, documente legislative, seturi de date statistice, articole de ziar \u0219i websiteuri relevante.<\/p>

    \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Modelarea lan\u021burilor de impact nu s-a limitat la construirea acestora (Figura 2), ci \u0219i la adaptarea cadrului conceptual \u0219i opera\u021bional specific \u00een vederea analiz\u0103rii dinamicii vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bii, mai exact a augment\u0103rii acesteia (\u00een situa\u021biile multi-hazard) de c\u0103tre impact sau op\u021biunile de adaptare (Figura 3). Aceasta s-a realizat prin introducerea unor noi tipuri de conexiuni ce redau aceste efecte de augmentare asupra vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bii \u0219i ac\u021biunea de \u00eent\u0103rire a impactului generator de augmentare de c\u0103tre vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bile augmente, precum \u0219i prin introducerea unor noi tipuri de elemente (e.g., vulnerabilitate augmentat\u0103, impact derivat) (Figura 4). Au rezultat astfel lan\u021buri de impact \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bite (Figura 5).<\/p>

    Detalii: Albulescu, A. C., & Arma\u0219, I. (2024). An Impact Chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics. The multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2024, 1-51. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5194\/nhess-24-2895-2024<\/a><\/p>

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    Figura 2. Metodologia construirii lan\u021burilor de impact clasice<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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    Figura 3. Cadru conceptual de augmentare a vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bii de c\u0103tre impactul hazardelor \u0219i op\u021biunile de adaptare<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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    Figura 4. Exemple de noi tipuri de elemente \u0219i conexiuni din lan\u021burile impact \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bite<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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    Figura 5. Lan\u021b de impact \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u021bit privind impactul combinate al inunda\u021biilor \u0219i pandemiei COVID-19 din anii 2020-2021, la nivel na\u021bional<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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    Ca rezultate secundare, \u00een curs de diseminare, se pot men\u021biona urm\u0103toarele:<\/p>

    • Modelul vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bii seismice sistemice la multi-hazard, dezvoltat pe baza lan\u021burilor referitoare la impactul inunda\u021biilor din 2020, 2021, 2022 \u0219i 2020-2022, precum \u0219i cel referitor la impactul concatenat al acestor hazarde hidrologice \u0219i al pandemiei COVID-19;<\/li>
    • Studiul de caz centrat pe lan\u021bul de impact dezvoltat pentru a analiza impactul concatenat al inunda\u021biilor \u0219i secetei din perioada 2020-2022, la nivelul Rom\u00e2niei. Acesta a fost integrat unui demers \u0219tiin\u021bific interna\u021bional de amploare, care urm\u0103re\u0219te analiza strategiilor de adaptare la evenimentele notabile de tip multi-hazard la nivel global;<\/li>
    • Analiza de tip forensic (forensic analysis) a efectelor acestui pandemiei COVID-19 la nivelul spitalelor din Bucure\u0219ti \u0219i a particularit\u0103\u021bilor managementului riscului \u00een acest caz, bazat\u0103 pe lan\u021bul de impact aferent.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Rezultate Activitate 1.2 \u00cen decursul desf\u0103\u0219ur\u0103rii proiectului, au fost realizate 9 lan\u021buri de impact, ce vizeaz\u0103 impactul hazardelor de tip inunda\u021bie, pandemie, seism \u0219i secet\u0103: Impactul concatenat al inunda\u021biilor \u0219i pandemiei COVID-19 la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een perioada 2020-2021; Impactul inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anul 2020; Impactul inunda\u021biilor la nivel na\u021bional, \u00een anul 2021; Impactul […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-63","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/63","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63"}],"version-history":[{"count":48,"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/63\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":267,"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/63\/revisions\/267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geosafe.unibuc.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}